Decisão por pênalti na FA Cup da Inglaterra: fatores que influenciam a cobrança (2000-2021)

Abstract

This research analyzes the factors that influence penalty shootout decisions in football, with a focus on the FA Cup, the world's oldest football competition held in England. The study highlights the psychological pressure faced by players during penalty kicks and explores external factors that can affect the performance of the kickers. Additionally, it examines environmental factors that impact the players at the moment of decision. To accomplish this, a regression approach is employed using data from FA Cup matches between the 2000-2001 and 2020-2021 seasons, taking into consideration information about the players involved. The results reveal that European players demonstrated a higher conversion rate into goals, whereas African players had a lower success rate. Moreover, it was found that playing at home did not have a positive impact on penalty kicks. Lastly, it is important to highlight that the majority of the kickers were of white ethnicity and had an average age range between 20 and 30 years.