Regressão logística aplicada a dados amostrais complexos: um estudo sobre a percepção dos jovens em relação à importância da educação

Abstract

Education is of great importance for the development of young people. Currently, all spheres of government are showing concern with regard to the quality and universal access to education, which has been motivating a series of public policies. According to the results of the Reasons for School Dropout survey, conducted with data collected in the main capitals of the country with the support of the Getulio Vargas Foundation and other institutions, in 2006, 2.6% of young people aged between 10 and 14 years were out of school , and from 15 to 17 years old this frequency is 17.8% and from 18 years old almost 50% of students abandon their studies. In addition, according to the same study, the proportion of young people who work follows the opposite path, with 13% of young people aged 10 years old, with an increase to 37% at 17 years old and 54% of young people aged 18 years old are present in the labor market. job. A result that draws attention is the reasons for school dropout, among which are highlighted problems such as low income, little offer of opportunities in educational institutions and other reasons, and the simple “Lack of interest” factor that obtained more than 40% of the answers. Taking into account that most young people are leaving school due to lack of interest, and that they are entering the job market, our question of interest arises: Do young people today, do not see education as something of importance for your professional life? This monograph aims to assess this aspect by analyzing the population of young people between 14 and 24 years old in the state of Minas Gerais, using data from the 2009 Household Survey of Minas Gerais (PAD-MG). The PAD-MG 2009 search aims to study the population of Minas Gerais including its socio-economic characteristics, with the objective of assisting the implementation and maintenance of public policies. Some indicators produced by PAD-MG are not provided by other existing research of the genre, such as, for example, the youth's perception of the importance of education. The sample was selected through a complex sampling plan including stratification and selection in multiple stages of stratified sampling. We adopted the Logistic Regression Analysis method, taking into account the sample weights, in order to identify the profile of young people regarding their perception of the importance of education for their professional career. At the end of this monograph it was possible to observe that it is possible to observe that the sample design causes an effect on the results of the analysis.