Crescimento econômico nos municípios brasileiros: entenda como ações similares podem gerar resultados distintos

Abstract

In order to verify which economic policies would be most appropriate for counties with different productive profiles and distinct levels of economic growth, this research estimated models with interactive dummies, multiple regimes and quantile regressions, using the economic growth of 5465 Brazilian municipalities, in the years 2000-2010 and 2010-2020 (i.e.: panel data), as a reference. The results validate the income convergence in the Brazilian territory and allow us to suggest some specific (and potentially more appropriate) policies for the total and the sectoral production (i.e.: agriculture, industry, services and public sector) in municipalities whose growth, in these segments, has been small, moderate or high. In general, it is noted that a generic public policy, even if well-intentioned, would hardly be beneficial to the economy of all Brazilian municipalities and could even inhibit certain productive activities, worsening regional inequalities.