Uma análise de impacto da guarda municipal no Brasil

Abstract

The aim of this dissertation is to evaluate the impact of municipal guards on the crime rate, and also to evaluate if the use of lethal and non-lethal weapons by these institutes cause any impact in crime. The methodology consists of two methods, spatial differences in differences and the regression discontinuity design (RDD). The first method is to evaluate the impact of municipal guards on the crime rate between 2004 and 2012, since there was a large increase in the number of municipalities that implemented municipal guards within this period. The second method analyzes the impact of the use of lethal or non-lethal weapons by municipal guards in 2009, as a result of the discontinuity around municipalities with fifty thousand inhabitants, a value defined by the Disarmament Statute, which established that only municipalities with population above this value could have municipal guards with lethal armaments. The results indicate that the presence of municipal guard, as well as the use of firearms by them, does not significantly impact the crime rate.