Condicionantes territoriais e individuais da modalidade de trabalhadores da indústria de transformação paulista: uma abordagem multinível para o período 1999 a 2002

Abstract

The present work aims to investigate the migration’s personal and regional determinants of migration of workers in the state of São Paulo. Two samples are examined, one composed by workers in general and another by skilled workers. The micro-data was obtained from Labor Ministery of Brasil (Rais-Migra), and data from municipalities from IBGE and Ipeadata. The methodology deals with a hierarchical logit model, which considers the variables in their proper individual and municipal levels, to model the determinants of worker’s mobility. The methodology extends to the spatial exploratory data analysis (ESDA) that lets us check how the spatial heterogeneity present at the municipal level can be incorporated into the multilevel model. Spacial-Hierarchical analysis revealed that the characteristics in the destination city has greater influence on decision to migrate of skilled workers. They are attracted to cities that have greater capacity to generate employment, and present relevant portion of their value-added determined by innovative and exporters companies. Individual characteristics such as age, wage at the destination, experience and size of company they work are also important.