Modelagem híbrida para o planejamento da operação de sistemas hidrotérmicos considerando as não linearidades das usinas hidráulicas

Abstract

The National Interconnected Power System (NIPS) presents around 150 hydraulic plants and the medium term planning contemplates between 5 to 10 years of study, the representation of the system to individualized plants makes the problem impracticable in computing; then the system is represented from equivalent systems of energy. There is an alternative of modeling flexibility of the system named hybrid modeling, in which part of the system is represented through equivalent systems of energy and the other is represented to individualized plants with constant productivity. As a consequence, it is obtained greater detail in the long term studies, maintaining the complexity of the system in an adequate level in computing. This paper presents the hybrid modeling between equivalent systems of energy and individualized plants. However, it considers non-linearities on generation of hydraulic plants. The non-linear characteristic on generation function basically comes from the influence of the reservoir level (head term) and the release term (turbinated outflow added to spilled outflow). The suggestion is to model the hydraulic generation of the plants (Hydraulic Production Function - HPF), which is a non-linear and non-convex analytical function, into a convex piecewise linear function that represents appropriately the function of the analytical hydraulic production. It will be described in detail in this paper the technique used to obtain this piecewise linear function by applying the Convex Hull algorithm to guarantee the convexity of this function. To conclude, it is possible to solve the problem of long term considering part of the system represented by equivalent form and the other part in individualized manner considering the variation of the hydraulic generation in relation to the volume stored, turbaned and spilled outflow.