O eleitorado juizforano nas eleições de 2006 e 2008 para o executivo

Abstract

This study aimed at proving a major attendance of the Juiz de Fora electorate in relation to others important Brazilians cities electorate in the elections to the Executive. This demonstrated itself conclusive to the Brazilian presidential and state elections in 2006, but the same did not occur to the municipal elections of 2008. The discussion turns to those studies that consider the predominance of a weak electorate, in Brazil, that benefits the elites as the real holders of the material and intellectual societies’ development control, and emphasizes the representation powers, which would have, in a way or another, the media as their most famous representative. It was also analyzed those studies that advocate a strong electorate, whose political participation is active, even it is restricted to the electoral participation, and that defend the idea that the elector when participates of his/her social life, listens, discusses, meditates, thinks and votes. In order to the confrontation of such oppositions (weak electorate/strong electorate), the data raised from mentioned elections were evaluated. The Factorial Analysis Technique was used in order to create indicator variables which were able to synthesize a set of socio-economic variables from the IBGE’s Atlas of the Brazil Human Development, 2000. These variables were taken as independents and a suite of regression models was also performed, in which the electoral variables, extracted from the TSE web site, assumed the dependence variables function. These analyses assumed as theoretical support, a tradition that defends education as the entrance door to the political participation, in general, and electoral in private; as well reaffirming one of the most important interpretations of the electoral process, its political meaning. The study culminates in the proposal of a “Brazilian Urban Profile” concept, and of its two orthogonal axes the “Urban Reaffirmation Movement” and the “Urban Social Preoccupation” as method of critical evaluation of the Brazilian cities’ urban infra-structure, which tends to determine the electorate attendance to the elections to the executive in Brazil.