Previsão para o mercado de energia eólica brasileiro para o biênio de 2021-2022

Abstract

Studies have revealed that wind energy will probably be the energy of the future, as it is an inexhaustible energy source and because of its small impact on the environment. However, few studies were concerned with how this market will be expressed in the short term, it only focus on the long term. This work aims to analyze the first two years, 2021 and 2022, in order to understand how the wind energy market will behave in the early 2020s and in the post-pandemic COVID-19. In this perspective, a prediction model will be selected, through the competition of two self-projective methods, which are: the Exponential Damping Method (MAE) and the Box and Jenkins Method (MBJ). The work results indicate a stabilization of the sector over the next two years, with a slight drop in 2022.