Comércio intraindústria: análise da hipótese de ajuste suavizado para o Brasil

Abstract

Considering the possible relationship between intra-industry trade and the displacement of workers, the aim of this paper is to analyze the “Smooth Adjustment Hypothesis” (HAS) for the Brazilian’s economy during 1997 a 2008. Theoretically, we expect an inverse relationship between the marginal intra-industry trade (Brülhart, 1994) and displacement of labor in the flow of foreign trade. In the analysis of SAH to the Brazilian scenario approach was used econometric dynamic panel data for the period 1997 to 2008. Therefore, it was necessary to reconcile three databases – CNAE 1.0, CNAE 2.0 and Mercosul Common Nomenclature (NCM). Empirical results were not found in Brazil according to HAS, ie, can not asset that intra-industry marginal causes the opposite effect the displacement of workers.