Planejamento de uma expansão energética utilizando osemosys e flextool

Abstract

The current global energy scenario, especially with the integration of variable renewable energy sources, requires thorough and continuous planning studies. Thus, this work focuses on presenting a fictional energy expansion planning study, using realistic data based on Brazil's Northeast region, featuring five different scenarios. Starting with a scenario based on hydropower and oil-fired thermoelectric plants, progressing through the integration of photovoltaic and wind power generation sources, also utilizing a sugarcane biomass thermoelectric plant, and finally, a nuclear thermoelectric plant. To model these proposed cases, two energy modeling tools were adopted: OSeMOSYS and IRENA Flextool, effective and free programs that allow for various levels of research. This work also aims to democratize the learning of these two tools by discussing them and providing a step-by-step guide on how to create a basic model, in the case of OSeMOSYS. Finally, the results of the simulated cases are presented, and the relevant findings are made based on the obtained results.