As implicações da política monetária no mercado de trabalho brasileiro

Abstract

From a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) approach, developed by Christoffel, Kuester and Linzert (2009) with Searching and Matching frictions and calibrated for the Brazilian economy, this study verifies the effect of a negative monetary policy shock on the labor market. The simulation results show that the monetary policy shock, from the adoption of a Taylor rule based on the product’s flexible price difference, leads to heating of domestic consumption, increased hiring by firms and an increase in wage paid after the bargaining process. However, it reduces the probability of new vacancies be filled due to the increased number of matches to a lesser proportion than the vacancies available, not allowing a larger drop in unemployment, possibly due to eligibility issues and information on the labor market.